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Will BJP LOSE? | Phase 1 and 2 Voting Analysis Ft Pradeep Bhandari

The Sham Sharma Show - Global・42 minutes read

More SC's, OBCs, tribals, and the poor are voting for Narendra Modi, with a 90% probability of Sonia Gandhi losing in Raebareli. The election is energizing voters with a focus on Sanatan versus Taran, showcasing Modi's potential to return as Prime Minister and the BJP's expected growth in various states.

Insights

  • More SC's, OBCs, tribals, and the poor are voting for Narendra Modi, indicating a broadening support base across diverse demographics, challenging traditional voting patterns and expectations.
  • The election has become about Sanatan versus Taran, energizing voters and framing the political discourse around fundamental values and beliefs, potentially shaping the future direction of Indian politics.

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Recent questions

  • Why are more SC's, OBCs, tribals, and the poor voting for Narendra Modi?

    They believe in his welfare schemes and lack of corruption.

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Summary

00:00

"Modi gains support, Sonia faces challenge"

  • More SC's, OBCs, tribals, and the poor are voting for Narendra Modi.
  • 90% probability that Sonia Gandhi would lose if she contested from Raebareli.
  • Aoda signifies civilization Renaissance and has a ripple effect on the Temple economy.
  • Anani has done good work in ATI, making it difficult for Rahul Gandhi if he contests.
  • Narendra Modi may be remembered as an unbeaten prime minister.
  • Fake narrative about farmers being against Narendra Modi is debunked.
  • The election has become about Sanatan versus Taran, energizing voters.
  • People are convinced that Narendra Modi will return as Prime Minister.
  • Voting percentage in phase two expected to be better than phase one.
  • Voting percentage does not always indicate a loss for the BJP.

13:16

BJP's Projected Growth and Strategic Moves

  • BJP is expected to increase its seats in various states, including Odisha, Telangana, West Bengal, Andhra Pradesh, Puducherry, Punjab, Assam, and Tamil Nadu.
  • BJP is projected to perform better in these states compared to the 2019 elections.
  • Specific mentions of BJP's potential improvement in states like Odisha, Telangana, West Bengal, Andhra Pradesh, Puducherry, Punjab, Assam, and Tamil Nadu.
  • BJP's potential growth in vote share in Tamil Nadu, with a prediction of double-digit vote share in 2024.
  • Congress may face challenges in maintaining its seat count, especially in states like Punjab and Kerala.
  • Analysis of specific candidates like Anam Malay and Madvi L in the elections.
  • BJP's strategic moves in fielding candidates like Mad against O to send a strong message and appeal to women, youth, and men.
  • BJP's focus on the Christian community, recruiting individuals like Anil Anthony, to potentially gain support in Kerala.
  • Author's belief in the importance of a conscious, committed, nationalist, and dharmic opposition to challenge BJP's dominance.
  • Speculation on Narendra Modi's potential for a third term and completion of his term till 2029, with considerations for succession planning within the BJP.

27:16

"Indian Government Wish List 2024-2029"

  • The speaker discusses their wish list for the Indian government from 2024 to 2029, including India gaining permanent membership in the UNC and becoming the third-largest economy.
  • They express concerns about unconstitutional provisions like the V act and suggest a rethink, particularly regarding property rights.
  • The potential shift in the Indian opposition if the Congress party falls below 50-55 seats is highlighted, with the possibility of Rahul Gandhi and Priyanka Gandhi becoming more active.
  • The speaker emphasizes the importance of simultaneous elections for increasing the speed of work and suggests one nation, one election as a beneficial idea.
  • They discuss the significance of elections in providing feedback mechanisms and busting fake narratives, citing examples like the farmer protests and the suit-boot sarkar narrative.
  • The potential impact of misinformation during election phases is acknowledged, with advice to follow reliable sources like Prad Bandari and Sham Sharma.
  • The speaker predicts an increase in voter turnout in upcoming election phases and stresses the importance of staying informed and vigilant.
  • The book author's main takeaway for readers is the analysis of Indian politics from the perspective of the common man, focusing on factors like mass leadership, organizational support, and ideological footprint.
  • The speaker explains the shift in female voters towards the BJP and Prime Minister Modi, attributing it to Modi's welfare schemes, lack of corruption, and visionary approach.
  • The importance of the elderly population in future Indian politics is highlighted, with Modi's initiatives like the Aayushman scheme being seen as forward-thinking.

42:35

"Modi 3.0 Book by Pradep Bandari"

  • Pradep Bandari's book "Modi 3.0: Bigger, Higher, Stronger" is available on Amazon, and the author is willing to appear on the Sham Sharma show multiple times. Viewers are encouraged to comment and engage with the content, with the hope of more interactions and discussions in the future.
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