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UP से आया चौंकाने वाला सर्वे -INDIA ने BJP को बुरी तरह पछाड़ा #NazarAurNazariya With Bushra Khanum

DB Live・55 minutes read

The upcoming elections in Uttar Pradesh are crucial, with key issues like caste dynamics, farmer concerns, and pensioners' rights impacting voter preferences. Mayawati and Akhilesh Yadav's social engineering strategies, alongside Rahul Gandhi's focus on pressing issues, play a significant role in shaping the election landscape, highlighting the importance of alliances to counter the BJP's stronghold.

Insights

  • Recent surveys indicate a 4 to 5 percent rise in support for the India Alliance, with the Rajput and Jat communities in Western UP expressing discontent towards the BJP, possibly impacting the upcoming elections significantly.
  • Social engineering by Mayawati and Akhilesh Yadav, focusing on issues like caste census, farmers' concerns, and pension reforms, is negatively affecting BJP's vote bank, highlighting the crucial role of regional parties and strategic alliances in shaping the political landscape of Uttar Pradesh.

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Recent questions

  • What are the key issues in Uttar Pradesh elections?

    Caste population, farmers' concerns, and pension for army personnel are crucial issues in Uttar Pradesh elections. The manifesto promises include caste census, restoring the old pension system, waiving agricultural loans, legal guarantee of AIIMS for farmers, irrigation facilities, and formation of Farmer Commission. Other pledges involve ₹10 per month pension for landless farmers, 33% reservation for women in Parliament and government jobs, and 'Aata and Data' slogan for free flour and mobile data for ration card holders. The People's Demand Letter aims to increase budget allocation to 6% of GDP and ensure quality healthcare rights.

  • What is BJP's campaign strategy in Uttar Pradesh?

    BJP's campaign in Uttar Pradesh focuses on corruption, nepotism, and religious issues like Ram Mandir. The party often resorts to communal polarization when facing challenges. Despite facing backlash for changing over 100 sitting MPs' tickets, BJP's campaign emphasizes issues like corruption and religious sentiments to garner support. The party's strategy aims to appeal to its support base, including Rajputs, Vaishyas, and Brahmins, while countering opposition's focus on farmers, youth employment, and pensioners' issues.

  • How are social engineering and caste dynamics influencing the elections?

    Social engineering and caste dynamics play a significant role in the elections, particularly in Uttar Pradesh. Parties like BJP, Muslim League, and Leftism are influencing voter perceptions through strategic alliances and candidate selection. Mayawati and Akhilesh Yadav are engaging in effective social engineering to secure their political power and voter base. The impact of caste census and key manifesto points like MSP, jobs, and pensions are crucial in shaping voter preferences and alliances in the elections.

  • What challenges are BJP facing in Uttar Pradesh elections?

    BJP is facing challenges in Uttar Pradesh elections due to opposition's focus on key issues like farmers' concerns, youth employment, and pensioners' rights. The party's support base, including Rajputs, Vaishyas, and Brahmins, is being questioned, especially post-2013 riots. BJP's issue-less politics contrasts with the inclusive manifestos of Samajwadi Party and Congress, with the latter presenting an impressive manifesto. The party's strategy of communal polarization and changing sitting MPs' tickets has also faced criticism.

  • How are alliances impacting the electoral landscape in Uttar Pradesh?

    Alliances are playing a significant role in shaping the electoral landscape in Uttar Pradesh. The alliance between BJP and the farmers' party in Western UP has faced challenges, while the alliance between Rashtriya Lok Dal and Samajwadi Party broke over ticket distribution issues. Social engineering by Mayawati and Akhilesh Yadav is impacting BJP's vote bank negatively, with strategic alliances and candidate selection influencing voter perceptions. Regional parties aligning to defeat the BJP underscores the importance of alliances in the upcoming elections.

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Summary

00:00

"India Alliance Gains Support, BJP Faces Challenges"

  • Elections are set for 19th April, with the first phase of voting in Uttar Pradesh.
  • The India Alliance has not held significant rallies in Uttar Pradesh yet.
  • Recent surveys show a 4 to 5 percent increase in support for the India Alliance.
  • The Rajput and Jat communities in Western UP are showing discontent towards the BJP.
  • BJP's campaign focuses on corruption, nepotism, and religious issues like Ram Mandir.
  • BJP's strategy often resorts to communal polarization when facing challenges.
  • BJP has faced backlash for changing over 100 sitting MPs' tickets.
  • The alliance between BJP and the farmers' party in Western UP has faced challenges.
  • The alliance between Rashtriya Lok Dal and Samajwadi Party broke over ticket distribution.
  • Social engineering by Mayawati and Akhilesh Yadav is impacting BJP's vote bank negatively.

13:03

Samajwadi Party's Manifesto Prioritizes Farmers and Caste

  • Samajwadi Party's manifesto echoes Congress's demands, focusing on farmers and MSP by K. Swaminathan's family.
  • Key issues in Uttar Pradesh include caste population, farmers' concerns, and pension for army personnel.
  • Samajwadi Party's manifesto includes caste census, restoring old pension system, and waiving agricultural loans.
  • Other promises in the manifesto are legal guarantee of AIIMS for farmers, irrigation facilities, and formation of Farmer Commission.
  • The manifesto also pledges ₹10 per month pension for landless farmers, 33% reservation for women in Parliament and government jobs.
  • 'Aata and Data' slogan signifies free flour in ration and free mobile data for ration card holders.
  • People's Demand Letter vows to increase budget allocation to 6% of GDP and ensure quality healthcare rights.
  • BJP faces challenges due to opposition's focus on farmers, youth employment, and pensioners' issues.
  • BJP's support base, including Rajputs, Vaishyas, and Brahmins, is being questioned, especially post-2013 riots.
  • Political dynamics in various constituencies like Muzaffarnagar, Kairana, and Meerut are analyzed, highlighting potential shifts in voter preferences.

26:53

"Uttar Pradesh Elections: Key Players and Challenges"

  • Varun Gandhi's absence at Modi's rally in the Yellow Wall has caused concern among his supporters, indicating a potential threat to BJP's victory in that area.
  • Jitendra Prasad, a minister from Uttar Pradesh, has been fielded by BJP in the Yellow Wall, despite Varun and Maneka Gandhi's significant influence and emotional connection to the region.
  • Chandrashekhar is a strong contender in the Nagina seat, with substantial support from the Muslim and Dalit communities, posing a challenge to BJP's current MLA.
  • In Bijnor, Mayawati and Akhilesh's social engineering strategy is evident, with a joint candidate from Rashtriya Lok Dal and BJP facing financial constraints against BSP's well-funded candidate.
  • Baghpat sees a joint candidate from BJP and Rashtriya Lok Dal struggling financially against Akhilesh Yadav's well-supported candidate, Amarpal Sharma.
  • Siwalkhas and Modinagar seats are influenced by the distribution of money in elections, with alliances facing challenges in these areas.
  • BJP's issue-less politics contrasts with the inclusive manifestos of Samajwadi Party and Congress, with Congress presenting a particularly impressive manifesto.
  • The voter base in Uttar Pradesh appears silent and difficult to gauge, with voters seemingly waiting for guidance on who to vote for.
  • Rahul Gandhi's focus on issues like peace, unemployment, and inflation resonates with voters, overshadowing the Ram Mandir and communalism topics.
  • Social engineering and caste dynamics play a significant role in the elections, with parties like BJP, Muslim League, and Leftism influencing voter perceptions.

39:51

Election Strategies and Issues in West Bengal

  • In West Bengal, money seized by ED is being distributed among the poor.
  • The master of election mode is always active, making him a formidable election warrior.
  • KP Malik questions if saving democracy and the Constitution is the true fight.
  • Issues like electoral bandh, misuse of agencies, and seizing Congress accounts are raised.
  • Opposition struggles to make impactful issues public, focusing on electoral fraud.
  • VP Singh's strategy against Rajiv Gandhi with the Bofors issue is highlighted.
  • Opposition's failure is attributed to lack of focus and entanglement in internal matters.
  • Rahul Gandhi raises issues of political victimization and misuse of power.
  • Caste census and key manifesto points like MSP, jobs, and pensions are emphasized.
  • BSP's role in the election, fielding candidates strategically to counter BJP, is discussed.

54:13

Mayawati and Akhilesh's Election Strategy

  • Mayawati and Akhilesh are engaging in effective social engineering for the upcoming elections, with Mayawati's ticket distribution strategy receiving praise.
  • Mayawati is working diligently on ticket distribution, aiming to maintain her political power and Dalit vote, especially in Uttar Pradesh.
  • Mayawati's past alliances and current political stance are analyzed, highlighting her need to prove she is not the BJP's B team and to retain her Muslim vote.
  • Akhilesh Yadav's political situation is discussed, emphasizing the impact of the Muslim community's voting decisions and his relationship with Congress.
  • The importance of regional parties aligning to defeat the BJP is underscored, with a focus on sacrifices made by various leaders and the significance of alliances.
  • The upcoming 2024 elections are predicted to be a battle of ideas, determining the future direction of the country, with a focus on democracy, the Constitution, and ideological differences.
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