Macario Schettino - Un Mundo Nuevo...

ERIAC Capital Humano5 minutes read

The speaker, reflecting on their retirement from Tec de Monterrey, emphasizes the urgent need to adapt to profound global shifts, particularly in technology and population dynamics, while also noting the rise of artificial intelligence and its implications for the workforce. They highlight the complex geopolitical landscape, with China's demographic and economic challenges, and urge for innovative ideologies to navigate uncertainty and foster cooperation in an increasingly fragmented society.

Insights

  • The speaker highlights the profound impact of technological advancements, particularly the rise of artificial intelligence and electric vehicle production, on global dynamics and workforce management, emphasizing that these shifts require a reevaluation of talent strategies and economic structures to adapt to a rapidly changing environment.
  • Concerns about Mexico's economic future are raised, noting a projected peak in population by 2039 and declining investment levels, alongside the necessity for flexible planning and adaptability in response to geopolitical tensions and internal challenges, indicating a critical need for innovative approaches to sustain growth and stability.

Get key ideas from YouTube videos. It’s free

Recent questions

  • What is the definition of artificial intelligence?

    Artificial intelligence (AI) refers to the simulation of human intelligence processes by machines, particularly computer systems. These processes include learning (the acquisition of information and rules for using it), reasoning (using rules to reach approximate or definite conclusions), and self-correction. AI can be categorized into two types: narrow AI, which is designed to perform a narrow task (like facial recognition or internet searches), and general AI, which has the ability to understand, learn, and apply knowledge in a way that is indistinguishable from a human. The rapid advancement of AI technologies has led to their integration into various sectors, transforming industries and prompting discussions about the implications for the workforce and society at large.

  • How can I improve my mental health?

    Improving mental health involves a combination of lifestyle changes, self-care practices, and seeking professional help when necessary. Regular physical activity, a balanced diet, and adequate sleep are foundational to mental well-being. Engaging in mindfulness practices, such as meditation or yoga, can help reduce stress and anxiety. Building strong social connections and seeking support from friends, family, or support groups can provide emotional relief. Additionally, setting realistic goals and maintaining a routine can foster a sense of purpose and stability. If feelings of anxiety or depression persist, consulting a mental health professional for therapy or counseling can be beneficial in developing coping strategies and addressing underlying issues.

  • What are the benefits of electric vehicles?

    Electric vehicles (EVs) offer numerous benefits that contribute to environmental sustainability and economic efficiency. One of the primary advantages is the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions, as EVs produce zero tailpipe emissions, significantly lowering air pollution levels compared to traditional gasoline or diesel vehicles. They also tend to have lower operating costs due to fewer moving parts, which reduces maintenance needs, and the cost of electricity is generally less than gasoline. Additionally, EVs can enhance energy security by reducing dependence on fossil fuels. As technology advances, the range and performance of electric vehicles continue to improve, making them a more viable option for consumers and contributing to a cleaner, more sustainable future.

  • What is the impact of social media on society?

    Social media has a profound impact on society, influencing communication, information dissemination, and social interactions. It allows for instant connectivity and the sharing of ideas across vast distances, fostering community and engagement. However, it also presents challenges, such as the spread of misinformation and the potential for cyberbullying. The overwhelming amount of information available can lead to anxiety and confusion, as users navigate differing opinions and narratives. Social media platforms can also contribute to the polarization of views, as algorithms often promote content that aligns with users' existing beliefs. Overall, while social media can enhance connectivity and awareness, it also necessitates critical engagement and responsible usage to mitigate its negative effects.

  • How does population growth affect the economy?

    Population growth can significantly affect the economy in various ways, both positively and negatively. On one hand, a growing population can lead to an increase in the labor force, driving economic growth through higher productivity and consumption. More people can mean greater demand for goods and services, which can stimulate business expansion and job creation. However, rapid population growth can also strain resources, infrastructure, and public services, leading to challenges such as unemployment, housing shortages, and increased competition for jobs. If economic growth does not keep pace with population increases, it can result in higher poverty rates and social unrest. Therefore, managing population growth in conjunction with economic development is crucial for sustainable progress.

Related videos

Summary

00:00

Global Changes and Human Cooperation Insights

  • The speaker expresses gratitude for the invitation and acknowledges their retirement from Tec de Monterrey, citing pension concerns as a reason for leaving early.
  • The discussion focuses on profound global changes, particularly in technology and population dynamics, emphasizing the importance of these shifts for the audience's work.
  • Electric vehicle production is highlighted, with China being the primary producer, and the growing percentage of electric cars noted as a significant trend.
  • The rise of artificial intelligence is discussed, indicating that AI systems are now capable of performing many tasks previously done by humans, necessitating a shift in talent management.
  • The United States is identified as a leader in software and semiconductor development, with Taiwan also playing a crucial role, while China lags in these areas.
  • Historical maps illustrate the decline of empires over time, emphasizing that the current nation-state system may also be subject to change, similar to past empires.
  • The speaker explains human cooperation as a key to success, noting that humans are more cooperative than other species, which has allowed for larger societal structures.
  • Cultural evolution is traced from shamanism to monotheism, highlighting how belief systems have shaped human societies and their ability to cooperate.
  • The speaker discusses the emergence of atheism and secularism in the West, contrasting it with Latin America's historical context of belief and independence movements.
  • The potential for conflict arising from differing ideologies, particularly in the context of recent political events in the United States, is noted, suggesting that such conflicts often lead to wars.

15:14

Populism and Global Shifts in Society

  • The text discusses the historical context of populism in Latin America, emphasizing its conservative roots and the ongoing struggle against anti-democratic forces like populists and evangelicals.
  • It references Ray Dalio's book, "The Changing World Order," which analyzes the rise and fall of global powers, highlighting the conflict between the U.S. and China as a current geopolitical concern.
  • The author argues that conflicts arise not from hegemonic ambitions but from shifts in societal thinking, illustrated by historical transitions from monotheism to deism and the impact of the printing press.
  • The emergence of mass media in the 19th century allowed public awareness of governance, leading to the decline of aristocracies and the rise of democratic ideals in the 20th century.
  • The text notes that in the 20th century, information was centralized, with figures like Jacobo Zabludovsky informing millions, contrasting sharply with today's fragmented social media landscape.
  • The proliferation of social media has led to an overwhelming amount of information, making it difficult for political parties to unify national ideas, resulting in widespread public discontent with political systems.
  • The author highlights a significant rise in anxiety and depression among younger populations since 2008, correlating with the advent of social media and economic downturns.
  • Predictions from the United Nations suggest a peak global population of 9 billion by 2052, but the author estimates it will occur by 2044, indicating a looming demographic crisis.
  • The text discusses China's declining working-age population and military mobilization capacity, suggesting a critical five-year window for potential action before significant demographic shifts occur.
  • It concludes with concerns about China's economic collapse, which began in 2008, warning that a decline in global trade could lead to increased poverty and potential conflict, reminiscent of historical precedents.

30:20

Future Ideologies for Mexico's Economic Challenges

  • Over the next 20 years, a new ideology must be developed to support living in smaller groups, as current trends show a decline in population growth in Mexico.
  • The peak population in Mexico is projected for 2039, with a current working-age population of 88 million, expected to grow to 96 million, a 10% increase.
  • Employment is crucial for consumption; formal employment, registered in social security, is necessary to avoid recession, which occurs below 1% annual growth.
  • Mexico experienced significant recessions in 2001-2003, 2009, and currently, with negative growth expected in late 2024 and early 2025 due to various economic factors.
  • Investment in Mexico has sharply declined after the Mayan train project, which the government claimed doubled construction activity, but actual data shows a brutal fall in investment.
  • Mexico's economic performance has dropped 10% compared to the U.S. since President López Obrador took office, with further contraction anticipated in 2025.
  • The geopolitical landscape includes weak Asian authoritarian regimes, with China facing internal issues, while Mexico's relationship with the U.S. remains complex and competitive.
  • Philosophical approaches to uncertainty are suggested: embrace patience (Buddhism), focus on personal responsibilities (Laozi), or adapt fluidly to change (Epicureanism).
  • The importance of not setting rigid plans is emphasized; instead, maintain flexible objectives to navigate unpredictable future events, such as potential tariffs from the U.S.
  • Acknowledgment of Mexico's historical narrative and collective memory issues is made, suggesting that these factors influence political choices and national identity.

45:53

Navigating Uncertainty in Mexico's Economic Landscape

  • Forecasting should involve exploring various scenarios rather than committing to unattainable goals, allowing for flexibility in planning amidst uncertainty.
  • The primary sector in Mexico, particularly agronomy, faces challenges due to security issues and strong competition, impacting exports of products like lemons and avocados.
  • Mexico's industrial sector, comprising oil, electricity, construction, and manufacturing, is expected to improve this year, largely influenced by economic conditions in the United States.
  • The services sector is experiencing a contraction, with recent data indicating declines in both wholesale and retail trade, while health services are growing due to public health system failures.
  • The Trump administration's policies, including the designation of cartels as foreign terrorist organizations, could complicate relations and impact Mexican citizens' ability to travel to the U.S.
  • Companies must develop skills to embrace uncertainty and flexibility, leveraging artificial intelligence tools for efficiency, as traditional roles may be threatened by technological advancements.
Channel avatarChannel avatarChannel avatarChannel avatarChannel avatar

Try it yourself — It’s free.