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Валерий Соловей. Путин верил, что св. Грааль в Киеве. Что должно было быть вместо ГКЧП

Yulia Latynina・45 minutes read

Yulia Latynina and Professor Valery Dmitrievich discuss Kadyrov's influence and the conflict within Russian leadership, highlighting key figures like Patrushev and Shoigu. The text also explores geopolitical tensions and strategic moves in the context of the Ukrainian conflict, with a focus on potential resolutions and power struggles involving oligarchs and state control.

Insights

  • Kadyrov's health and potential successor, Apti Adino, are central concerns in Russian leadership, with his actions demonstrating significant influence and strength, causing alarm among authorities and leading to reputational losses and tensions.
  • The conflict within Russian leadership, primarily between the Patrushev and Chez factions, has escalated with the arrest of Timur Ivanov, signaling a larger systemic blow to the Shoigu clan and uncertainties about future reshuffles, highlighting the struggle for control over key institutions like the Ministry of Defense and the FSB.

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  • Who is Apti Adino?

    Apti Adino is a potential successor to Kadyrov.

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Summary

00:00

Kadyrov's Health and Power Struggles Unveiled

  • Yulia Latynina and Professor Valery Dmitrievich discuss Kadyrov's health and the future of Timur Ivanov.
  • Novaya Gazeta Europe published a detailed investigation on Kadyrov's health, mentioning a potential successor, Apti Adino.
  • The relationship dynamics between Putin and Kadyrov are discussed, with Patrushev being the main counterparty in Russian leadership.
  • Kadyrov's ability to cause mass dynamics in the North Caucasus has alarmed the Russian leadership.
  • Kadyrov's actions, like the search for Jews for turbines, have demonstrated his influence and strength.
  • Kadyrov's extraterritoriality and strength have led to reputational losses and tensions with the Federal authorities.
  • Military counterintelligence has been monitoring Timur Ivanov due to kickbacks for contracts within the Ministry of Defense.
  • Shoigu has managed to save his subordinates despite concerns raised by military counterintelligence.
  • The conflict within the Russian leadership is between the Patrushev faction and the Chez faction, with a power struggle ongoing.
  • The arrest of Timur Ivanov is part of a larger systemic blow to the Shoigu clan, with uncertainties about future reshuffles in the Russian leadership.

18:57

"Securing Control: Military, Treaties, and Peace"

  • The first step in gaining control over institutions is to secure control over the state, particularly the Ministry of Defense.
  • The FSB is a crucial institution to control after the Ministry of Defense.
  • An interesting story is shared about a contractor who won a construction contract, built most of the facility, but was accused and replaced before completion.
  • Military equipment repair was a significant issue, with a large amount breaking down at the beginning of the war.
  • A draft of the Istanbul Treaty was published but not signed, with key points including Russian language as a state language and administrative borders for Donetsk and Lugansk.
  • The West played a decisive role in the signing of the treaty, with pressure from various political entities.
  • The signing of a bill worth 61 billion was expected before summer due to pressure from the deep state and potential collapse of the front in Ukraine.
  • Russian troops have faced exhaustion, leading to decreased intensity in shooting, potentially allowing Ukraine to achieve strategic stability.
  • The Russian military realistically assesses their ability to secure a strategic turning point, with hopes for a peaceful solution in the summer.
  • The potential for a strategic impasse may push both parties to seek a peaceful resolution, with the situation for Ukraine improving compared to earlier months.

36:28

Oligarchs face treason accusations in Russia.

  • Ivanov is at risk of facing accusations of treason against the Motherland, similar to other individuals who have been targeted by certain influential figures.
  • There are plans to arrest several oligarchs, with Ivanov being considered a minor concern compared to the main targets.
  • The strategy involves intimidating potential resistors to prevent any opposition, drawing parallels to past actions against prominent figures like Khodorkovsky.
  • The aim is to coerce individuals into relinquishing their assets voluntarily to maintain their freedom.
  • A proposed solution involves nationalizing assets and creating state corporations, with the oligarchs serving as consultants under state control.
  • The discussion shifts to the portrayal of oligarchs in media, particularly in films, and the impact on viewers' political perspectives.
  • The text delves into the resurgence of leftist ideologies globally and in Russia, emphasizing a desire for revenge rather than social justice.
  • The narrative traces back to the privatization of the RSFSR and the subsequent collapse of the USSR, highlighting political motivations and power struggles.
  • Yeltsin's role in the dissolution of the Soviet Union is analyzed, suggesting that he would have preferred to preserve the state if he had the means to do so.
  • The text concludes with reflections on the political landscape post-Soviet Union and the motivations behind key players' actions.

55:09

Conspiracy, Coup, and Conflict in Russia

  • Ian split a vessel to carry a piece in his pocket, finding himself in a no-alternative situation.
  • People who signed the Belovezhskaya Treaty didn't foresee the consequences, hoping for an intermediate option similar to the Soviet Union's human relations.
  • A significant conspiracy against Gorbachev was thwarted by the State Emergency Committee, involving military leaders, KGB officers, and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation.
  • Plans for a coup to make Gromov a dictator were considered patriotic, aiming to focus on a strong Russia rather than Marxism-Leninism.
  • Aliyev's departure of Russian peacekeepers aimed to punish Pashinyan and Armenia, with plans beyond the confrontation with Armenia in the South Caucasus.
  • Armenia's strategic prospects were sacrificed due to Pashinyan's actions, leading to a difficult situation that requires a flexible understanding from the Russian leadership.
  • Azerbaijan was prepared for a military confrontation over Karabakh, modernizing its army and forming a strategic connection with Turkey, aiming for a strategic partnership without dependency.
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