Conflict’s Long Game: A Decade of Violence in the Bangsamoro
Council for Climate and Conflict Action・2 minutes read
Conflict is a long game with ambiguous causes and hidden perpetrators, leading to understated costs and unrecognized victims. The devastating impact of violence in Marawi continues to haunt the Bangsamoro region, hindering the resumption of normal life even five years after the deadly siege.
Insights
- Conflict is a complex, enduring issue with hidden origins and consequences, impacting communities in profound but often unacknowledged ways.
- The analysis highlights the evolving nature of violent actors and motives, emphasizing the persistent challenges of impunity, prejudice, and revenge that fuel conflict, hindering peace and normalcy in affected regions.
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Recent questions
What are the consequences of conflict?
Loss of life, displacement, and societal unrest.
How has violence evolved in recent years?
New actors with deadlier motives have emerged.
What factors contribute to conflict escalation?
Identity polarization, erosion of tradition, and extremism appeal.
How does conflict impact communities?
Death, displacement, and societal unrest.
What are the challenges in transitioning from conflict to peace?
Exclusion, dissatisfaction, and lingering violence.
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Summary
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Unrecognized Victims: The Enduring Nature of Conflict
- Conflict is a long game with ambiguous causes and hidden perpetrators, leading to understated costs and unrecognized victims.
- Metaphors like the cycle of violence and conflict trap depict the enduring nature of conflict, preventing rejoicing when violence declines.
- Violent actors with new names and deadlier motives have been observed over the past decade, with resilient impunity and hostile prejudices fueling revenge.
- The devastating impact of violence in Marawi continues to haunt the Bangsamoro region, hindering the resumption of normal life even five years after the deadly siege.
- Violence in the region surged from 2011 to 2016-2017 before receding in 2018, with concerns raised about exclusion and dissatisfaction in the peace transition process.
- The analysis overlooks key causal shifts in violence, including identity polarization, erosion of tradition, extremism appeal, and increased access to weapons.
- Conflict intensifies due to multi-causal violence, with urban areas and borderlands experiencing high levels of political and identity-based conflict, leading to death and displacement.
