Steve Kornacki and Chuck Todd give an early look at the 2024 Senate map

NBC News4 minutes read

The Democrats face a tough challenge defending key Senate seats in the 2024 election, with crucial battleground states in play. Joe Biden's reelection prospects may rely on winning traditionally Republican states, impacting the balance of power in Congress and potentially leading to complete Republican control.

Insights

  • The 2024 Senate race poses a significant challenge for Democrats, as they must defend key states like Ohio, West Virginia, Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
  • The decline in split-ticket voting, exemplified by the 2020 Senate contests, suggests that Joe Biden's reelection prospects in 2024 may rely on winning traditionally Republican strongholds such as West Virginia, Montana, and Ohio.

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Recent questions

  • What states do Democrats need to defend in the 2024 Senate race?

    Ohio, West Virginia, Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

  • What happened in the 2020 Senate contest in Maine?

    Highlighted the decline in split-ticket voting.

  • Which states are crucial for Joe Biden's potential reelection in 2024?

    West Virginia, Montana, and Ohio.

  • What is the potential outcome if Republicans win the presidency in 2024?

    Increased odds of complete Republican control.

  • What is the trend in split-ticket voting based on the 2020 Senate contest?

    Decline in split-ticket voting.

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Summary

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2024 Senate Race: Democrats Face Uphill Battle

  • Democrats have a lot of ground to defend in the 2024 Senate race, including states like Ohio, West Virginia, Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
  • In 2020, only Maine had a Senate contest that went differently, highlighting the decline in split-ticket voting.
  • Joe Biden's potential reelection in 2024 could hinge on winning states like West Virginia, Montana, and Ohio, traditionally Republican strongholds.
  • If Republicans win the presidency in 2024, they are likely to also secure control of the House and Senate, increasing the odds of complete Republican control.
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