Military Strategist Shows How China Would Likely Invade Taiwan | WSJ

The Wall Street Journal8 minutes read

China and Taiwan are preparing for potential conflict with military drills, stemming from China's view that Taiwan belongs to them. The US national security community discusses the outcomes, with a war game by CSIS predicting a Chinese invasion of Taiwan in 2026 resulting in a costly minor victory for the US and its allies.

Insights

  • China's motivation for potential conflict with Taiwan is rooted in its claim that Taiwan is part of China, driving its military buildup and preparedness for a conflict involving the US.
  • The war game scenario developed by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) envisions a Chinese invasion of Taiwan in 2026, with the US and its allies achieving a minor victory in defending Taiwan's autonomy and democracy, albeit at a significant cost to all parties involved.

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Recent questions

  • Why are China and Taiwan conducting military drills?

    To prepare for a potential conflict involving the US.

  • What is the US national security community discussing?

    Potential outcomes of a conflict between China and Taiwan.

  • What did the Center for Strategic and International Studies develop?

    A war game scenario for a Chinese invasion of Taiwan in 2026.

  • How does CSIS's war game involve players?

    Turn-based strategy simulation representing China and the US.

  • Where does the Chinese invasion in the war game focus?

    Landing forces in the south due to difficulty in the north.

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Summary

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China-Taiwan Conflict: Military Drills and War Game

  • China and Taiwan conduct military training drills in preparation for a potential conflict involving the US.
  • China's motivation for a potential conflict with Taiwan stems from its belief that Taiwan is part of China and its military buildup.
  • The US national security community discusses the potential outcomes of a conflict between China and Taiwan.
  • The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) developed a war game scenario for a Chinese invasion of Taiwan in 2026.
  • CSIS's war game involves turn-based strategy simulation with players representing China and the US.
  • The Chinese invasion of Taiwan in the war game involves landing forces in the south due to the difficulty of invading the north.
  • The war game concludes with the US and its allies achieving a minor victory, sustaining Taiwan's autonomy and democracy at a significant cost to all sides.
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