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90+ सीटें नहीं जीते Modi तो हारेंगे फाईनल | एक-एक सीट पर उलझ गई BJP | Deepak Sharma

Deepak Sharma・26 minutes read

Modi and Shah seek to secure over 400 seats in the elections, with BJP currently assessing around 190-200 seats. The final outcome will depend on the results of the last three phases, especially in key states like Maharashtra, Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, and Bengal.

Insights

  • BJP's current assessment indicates they may secure around 190-200 seats, needing at least 85-90 more to form the government, with a focus on winning crucial seats in Uttar Pradesh.
  • The upcoming phases of elections in Maharashtra, Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, and Bengal pose significant challenges for Modi's government, with the final outcome hinging on the results of these rounds, especially in Maharashtra where Uddhav Thackeray's absence may impact BJP's chances in key seats.

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Recent questions

  • What is the current assessment of BJP's seat count?

    Around 190-200 seats according to internal sources.

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Summary

00:00

NDA Aiming for Over 400 Seats

  • Modi and Shah are emphasizing that NDA will secure over 400 seats in the elections.
  • Four rounds of voting have been completed on around 379 seats, constituting 70% of the total seats.
  • BJP won around 208-210 seats out of the 379-380 seats in the previous elections.
  • BJP's current assessment suggests they have around 190-200 seats, according to internal sources.
  • BJP needs to secure at least 85-90 seats out of the remaining 164 seats to form the government.
  • BJP had a 100% strike rate in the Upper North area in the previous elections.
  • BJP has to contest 38 seats in Uttar Pradesh in the upcoming phases.
  • BJP had a 100% strike rate in Bihar and Maharashtra in the last elections.
  • The situation for Modi in Maharashtra, Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, and Bengal is becoming challenging.
  • The final outcome for Modi's government depends on the results of the last three phases of elections.

14:28

Crucial Maharashtra round, Modi's final chance

  • Last round in Maharashtra on 20th, final chance for Mr. Modi, 6 out of 13 seats in Maharashtra, Modi won all 6 last time.
  • Uddhav Thackeray's contribution crucial in those 6 seats, his absence now may impact BJP's chances.
  • Mumbai North seat significant, BJP concerned about other 5 seats, potential for surprising results.
  • Marathi vs. Gujarati binary emerging, Uddhav vs. Modi Shah battle expected.
  • In Bihar, Modi won all 11 seats last time, current circumstances less favorable for BJP.
  • Nitish Kumar's stance affecting BJP's prospects in Bihar, surgical strike of Balakot a factor.
  • Haryana, Himachal, Delhi, and Chandigarh results uncertain, BJP facing tough competition.
  • Kangana Ranaut's contest in Himachal against Vikramaditya Singh, BJP facing challenges.
  • BJP's situation in Bengal precarious, potential loss of 3 seats, tough competition in others.
  • BJP's overall performance expected to decline, likely to secure around 250-260 seats.

28:02

Political Landscape Shifts in Mumbai Election Battle

  • In the upcoming election, Dalits, Muslims, and tribals are leaning towards the Congress, while the Bahujan class individuals who previously worked with RSS at the booth level are now being replaced by upper caste individuals, potentially impacting the Bharatiya Janata Party. The Marathi versus Gujarati situation in Mumbai could significantly affect the political landscape, with the question arising about who will dominate Mumbai on June 4, with names like Modi, Shah, Shinde, Ajit Panwar, Sharad Pawar, and Udhav Thackeray being mentioned.
  • The dominance of the Thackeray name in Mumbai is highlighted, with discussions on political strategies, promises of financial incentives to voters, and the significance of the upcoming elections for Modi. The importance of the last round of elections, the challenge it poses to Modi, and the necessity for him to secure a certain number of seats for victory are emphasized, with specific dates like May 20, May 25, and June 1 being mentioned as crucial milestones in this political battle.
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